Abstract
Estimating and monitoring the total number of people infected with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1)is a critical public health objective. No single epidemiologic methodology yields completely reliable estimates. We usedtechniques originally designed to estimate the size of wildlife populations to complement estimates of the size of the population with HIV-1 infection in Lazio, Italy, during 1990 obtained from surveillance, surveys, and dynamic mathematical models. We used reports from four large testing sites to generate incomplete, partially overlapping lists of HlV-positive subjects. Log-linear models yielded estimated prevalences of 5.65 per 1,000 among males (95% confidence interval = 4.52−6.78) and 1.84 per 1,000 (95% confidence interval = 1.34−2.33) among females in the population age 15–64 years. This method provides a simple and inexpensive means of obtaining accurate estimates of the total number of HIV seropositives. It could be applied easily in all situations in which data from multiple sources are available.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 410-414 |
| Number of pages | 5 |
| Journal | Epidemiology |
| Volume | 5 |
| Issue number | 4 |
| Publication status | Published - 1994 |
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Keywords
- Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome
- Capture-recapture
- Epidemiologic methods
- Human immunodeficiency virus type 1
- Prevalence
- Surveillance systems
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Epidemiology
Cite this
Capture-Recapture to estimate the size of the population with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 infection. / Abeni, Damiano D.; Brancato, Giovanna; Perucci, Carlo A.
In: Epidemiology, Vol. 5, No. 4, 1994, p. 410-414.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - Capture-Recapture to estimate the size of the population with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 infection
AU - Abeni, Damiano D.
AU - Brancato, Giovanna
AU - Perucci, Carlo A.
PY - 1994
Y1 - 1994
N2 - Estimating and monitoring the total number of people infected with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1)is a critical public health objective. No single epidemiologic methodology yields completely reliable estimates. We usedtechniques originally designed to estimate the size of wildlife populations to complement estimates of the size of the population with HIV-1 infection in Lazio, Italy, during 1990 obtained from surveillance, surveys, and dynamic mathematical models. We used reports from four large testing sites to generate incomplete, partially overlapping lists of HlV-positive subjects. Log-linear models yielded estimated prevalences of 5.65 per 1,000 among males (95% confidence interval = 4.52−6.78) and 1.84 per 1,000 (95% confidence interval = 1.34−2.33) among females in the population age 15–64 years. This method provides a simple and inexpensive means of obtaining accurate estimates of the total number of HIV seropositives. It could be applied easily in all situations in which data from multiple sources are available.
AB - Estimating and monitoring the total number of people infected with human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1)is a critical public health objective. No single epidemiologic methodology yields completely reliable estimates. We usedtechniques originally designed to estimate the size of wildlife populations to complement estimates of the size of the population with HIV-1 infection in Lazio, Italy, during 1990 obtained from surveillance, surveys, and dynamic mathematical models. We used reports from four large testing sites to generate incomplete, partially overlapping lists of HlV-positive subjects. Log-linear models yielded estimated prevalences of 5.65 per 1,000 among males (95% confidence interval = 4.52−6.78) and 1.84 per 1,000 (95% confidence interval = 1.34−2.33) among females in the population age 15–64 years. This method provides a simple and inexpensive means of obtaining accurate estimates of the total number of HIV seropositives. It could be applied easily in all situations in which data from multiple sources are available.
KW - Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome
KW - Capture-recapture
KW - Epidemiologic methods
KW - Human immunodeficiency virus type 1
KW - Prevalence
KW - Surveillance systems
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=0028364342&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=0028364342&partnerID=8YFLogxK
M3 - Article
C2 - 7918810
AN - SCOPUS:0028364342
VL - 5
SP - 410
EP - 414
JO - Epidemiology
JF - Epidemiology
SN - 1044-3983
IS - 4
ER -