Clinical and Dosimetric Predictors of Late Rectal Syndrome After 3D-CRT for Localized Prostate Cancer: Preliminary Results of a Multicenter Prospective Study

Purpose: To assess the predictors of late rectal toxicity in a prospectively investigated group of patients treated at 70-80 Gy for prostate cancer (1.8-2 Gy fractions) with three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy. Methods and Materials: A total of 1,132 patients were entered into the study between 2002 and 2004. Three types of rectal toxicity, evaluated by a self-administered questionnaire, mainly based on the subjective objective management, analytic late effects of normal tissue system, were considered: stool frequency/tenesmus/pain, fecal incontinence, and bleeding. The data from 506 patients with a follow-up of 24 months were analyzed. The correlation between a number of clinical and dosimetric parameters and Grade 2 or greater toxicity was investigated by univariate and multivariate (MVA) logistic analyses. Results: Of the 1,132 patients, 21, 15, and 30 developed stool frequency/tenesmus/pain, fecal incontinence, and bleeding, respectively. Stool frequency/tenesmus/pain correlated with previous abdominal/pelvic surgery (MVA, p = 0.05, odds ratio [OR], 3.3). With regard to incontinence, MVA showed the volume receiving ≥40 Gy (V₄₀) (p = 0.035, OR, 1.037) and surgery (p = 0.02, OR, 4.4) to be the strongest predictors. V₄₀ to V₇₀ were highly predictive of bleeding; V₇₀ showed the strongest impact on MVA (p = 0.03), together with surgery (p = 0.06, OR, 2.5), which was also the main predictor of Grade 3 bleeding (p = 0.02, OR, 4.2). Conclusions: The predictive value of the dose-volume histogram was confirmed for bleeding, consistent with previously suggested constraints (V₅₀ 60 70 75 40 70