COVID-19 in Italy: impact of containment measures and prevalence estimates of infection in the general population

Carlo Signorelli, Thea Scognamiglio, Anna Odone

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Since the beginning of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy, the Italian Government implemented several restrictive measures to contain the spread of the infection. Data shows that, among these measures, the lockdown implemented as of 9 March had a positive impact, in particular the central and southern regions of Italy, while other actions appeared to be less effective. When the true prevalence of a disease is unknown, it is possible estimate it, based on mortality data and the assumptive case-fatality rate of the disease. Given these assumptions, the estimated period-prevalence of COVID-19 in Italy varies from 0.35% in Sicity to 13.3% in Lombardy.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)175-179
Number of pages5
JournalActa Biomed
Volume91
Issue number3-S
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 10 2020

Keywords

  • Betacoronavirus
  • COVID-19
  • Coronavirus
  • Coronavirus Infections/diagnosis
  • Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control
  • Epidemiological Monitoring
  • Humans
  • Italy/epidemiology
  • Mortality/trends
  • Pandemics
  • Pneumonia, Viral/diagnosis
  • Population Surveillance
  • Prevalence
  • Quarantine
  • SARS-CoV-2

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