Epidemiological characteristics and survival in patients with de novo metastatic prostate cancer

Carlo Cattrini, Davide Soldato, Alessandra Rubagotti, Linda Zinoli, Elisa Zanardi, Paola Barboro, Carlo Messina, Elena Castro, David Olmos, Francesco Boccardo

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


The real-world outcomes of patients with metastatic prostate cancer (mPCa) are largely unexplored. We investigated the trends in overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with de novo mPCa according to distinct time periods. The U.S. Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Research Data (2000–2017) were analyzed using the SEER*Stat software. The Kaplan– Meier method and Cox regression were used. Patients with de novo mPCa were allocated to three cohorts based on the year of diagnosis: A (2000–2003), B (2004–2010), and C (2011–2014). The maximum follow-up was fixed to 5 years. Overall, 26,434 patients were included. Age, race, and metastatic stage (M1) significantly affected OS and CSS. After adjustment for age and race, patients in Cohort C showed a 9% reduced risk of death (hazard ratio (HR): 0.91 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.87–0.95), p < 0.001) and an 8% reduced risk of cancer-specific death (HR: 0.92 (95% CI 0.88–0.96), p < 0.001) compared with those in Cohort A. After adjustment for age, race, and metastatic stage, patients in Cohort C showed an improvement in OS and CSS compared with Cohort B (HR: 0.94 (95% CI 0.91–0.97), p = 0.001; HR: 0.89 (95% CI 0.85–0.92), p < 0.001). Patients with M1c disease had a more pronounced improvement in OS and CSS compared with the other stages. No differences were found between Cohorts B and C. In conclusion, the real-world survival of de novo mPCa remains poor, with a median OS and CSS improvement of only 4 months in the latest years.

Original languageEnglish
Article number2855
Pages (from-to)1-11
Number of pages11
Issue number10
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2020


  • Prostatic neoplasms/epidemiology
  • Prostatic neoplasms/mortality
  • SEER Program

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Oncology
  • Cancer Research


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